Yuan Yuan (苑 苑)

I am currently a postdoctoral researcher at Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences, New York University, working with Prof. Laure Zanna and Prof. Carlos Fernandez-Granda, and as a member of Multiscale Machine Learning In Coupled Earth System Modeling (M²LInES). Previously, I completed my PhD at FIBLAB, Department of Electronic Engineering, Tsinghua University, advised by Prof. Depeng Jin and Prof. Yong Li. I received my bachelor degree from the Department of Electronic Engineering, Tsinghua University in 2020.

My research centers on developing scalable artificial intelligence methodologies for real-world spatiotemporal systems, with applications in climate dynamics, urban systems, and energy infrastructures. I aim to build robust foundation models that capture complex interdependencies across spatial and temporal scales, enabling intelligent reasoning and decision-making in dynamic and uncertain environments.

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1126 Warren Weaver Hall, New York, NY 10012

Research Interests

  • Foundation Models for Real-World Systems: AI foundation models for Earth systems, urban foundation models
  • Real-world System Simulation: agent simulation, physical world simulation, and urban/social system simulation

News

  • [New!] [2026.6] Our paper UniCM, a unified deep model for forecasting the coupled dynamics of global climate modes, has been published in Nature Machine Intelligence.
  • [New!] [2026.5] We released Samudra 2, a multi-resolution autoregressive ocean emulator that scales from 1° down to 1/4° and runs multi-year rollouts on a single GPU. Project page: openathena.ai/Ocean_Emulator.
  • [New!] [2026.5] Our paper, CoST, a collaborative deterministic-probabilistic framework for real-world spatiotemporal dynamics, has been accepted to KDD 2026.
  • [New!] [2026.5] Two papers have been accepted to ICML 2026: Beyond Model Ranking, a predictability-aligned evaluation framework for time-series forecasting, and DynaDiff, a generative meta-learning framework that adapts dynamical-system predictors via weight-space diffusion.
  • [New!] [2025.10] We are excited to release a global open data for human mobility, WorldMove, by leveraging publicly available multi-source data. The accompanying paper has been accepted by Scientific Data.
  • [New!] [2025.9] Our paper on urban foundation models, UrbanDiT, has been accepted to NeurIPS 2025.
  • [New!] [2025.9] 🏆 Delighted to share that our UniST paper has been recognized as a Top-3 Most Influential Paper at KDD 2025.
  • [New!] [2025.8] Two papers on mobility foundation models, MoveGCL and UniMove, have been accepted to ACM SIGSPATIAL 2025.
  • [New!][2025.6] I am honored to receive the Outstanding Doctoral Dissertation Award and the Outstanding Ph.D. Graduate Award from Tsinghua University.
  • [New!] [2025.6] Our survey on world models has been published in ACM Computing Surveys. Check out our gularly updated paper list at World-Model on GitHub. Open to discussions and collaborations!
  • [New!][2025.5] I successfully defended my Ph.D.! 😊 Deep thanks to Prof. Depeng Jin, Prof. Li Yong, and to everyone who has supported me throughout this journey.
  • [New!] [2025.3] Our paper on learning the complexity of urban mobility, DeepMobility, has been published in PNAS Nexus.
  • [New!] [2025.2] We are happy to release our new urban spatio-temporal foundation models — UniST-v2 and UniFlow. UniST-v2 has been published in IEEE TKDE.
  • [New!] [2025.1] Two papers on noise priors for diffusion models have been accepted by IJCAI 2025 (NPDiff) and WWW 2025 (CoDiffMob).
  • [New!] [2024.8] Our paper UniST is accepted by KDD 2024, which built a one-for-all foundation model for urban spatio-temporal prediction. The code, pretrained weights and data (over 130$m$ points) are released here.
  • [New!] [2024.5] Our paper about spatio-temporal few-shot learning with diffusion model is accepted to ICLR 2024. Feel free to try our code on cross-city transfer tasks.

Selected Research

Google scholar for full list.

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Learning the coupled dynamics of global climate modes


Yuan Yuan, Jingtao Ding, Zhongpu Qiu, Jingfang Fan, Yong Li
Nature Machine Intelligence, 2026
paper / pdf / code /

By modelling the world’s climate modes as one interconnected system rather than in isolation, UniCM unlocks the emergent predictability hidden in their teleconnections—extending skilful forecasts across major modes and exposing the inter-mode interactions that precede extreme climate events.

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Samudra 2: Scaling Ocean Emulators across Resolutions


Yuan Yuan, Jesse Rusak, Alexander Merose, Adam Subel, Pavel Perezhogin, Alistair Adcroft, Carlos Fernandez-Granda, Laure Zanna
Preprint, 2026
pdf / website /

Samudra 2 is a multi-resolution neural ocean emulator that runs multi-year global rollouts from 1° down to 1/4°.

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Collaborative Deterministic-Probabilistic Learning for Real-World Spatiotemporal Dynamics


Zhi Sheng, Yuan Yuan, Yudi Zhang, Jingtao Ding, Yong Li, Corresponding author
KDD, 2026
pdf / code /

CoST pairs a deterministic mean-flow predictor with a diffusion residual for scalable probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting.

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Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting


Wanjin Feng, Yuan Yuan, Jingtao Ding, Yong Li, Corresponding author
ICML, 2026
pdf / code /

A predictability-aligned diagnostic framework that moves time-series forecasting evaluation beyond leaderboard ranking.

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Generative Adaptation of Dynamics to Environmental Shifts via Weight-space Diffusion


Ruikun Li, Huandong Wang, Jingtao Ding, Yuan Yuan, Qingmin Liao, Yong Li
ICML, 2026
pdf / code /

DynaDiff adapts dynamical-system predictors to new environments by directly generating expert weights via weight-space diffusion — no fine-tuning needed.

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Diffusion Transformers as Open-World Spatiotemporal Foundation Models


Yuan Yuan, Chonghua Han, Jingtao Ding, Guozhen Zhang, Depeng Jin, Yong Li
NeurIPS, 2025
paper / pdf / code /

We build a foundation model for open-world spatiotemporal learning that successfully scales up diffusion transformers.

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WorldMove, a global open data for human mobility


Yuan Yuan*, Yuheng Zhang*, Jingtao Ding, Yong Li, *Equal contribution
Scientific Data, 2025
paper / pdf / code / website /

WorldMove is an open access worldwide human mobility dataset. It accurately reflects real-world mobility patterns and ensures authenticity and reliability for urban mobility research.

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Unveiling the Power of Noise Priors: Enhancing Diffusion Models for Mobile Traffic Prediction


Zhi Sheng*, Yuan Yuan*, Jingtao Ding, Qi Yan, Xi Zheng, Yue Sun, Yong Li, *Equal contribution
IJCAI, 2025
paper / pdf / code /

NPDiff introduces novel noise priors for advancing mobile traffci prediction.

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Breaking Data Silos: Towards Open and Scalable Mobility Foundation Models via Generative Continual Learning


Yuan Yuan*, Yukun Liu*, Chonghua Han, Jingtao Ding, Jie Feng, Yong Li, *Equal contribution
SIGSPATIAL, 2025
paper / pdf / code /

MoveGCL is a scalable, privacy-preserving framework that enables training mobility foundation models without sharing raw data, which enables decentralized and progressive model evolution.

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UniMove: A Unified Model for Multi-city Human Mobility Prediction


Chonghua Han*, Yuan Yuan*, Yukun Liu, Jingtao Ding, Jie Feng, Yong Li, *Equal contribution
SIGSPATIAL, 2025
paper / pdf / code /

UniMove is a foundational-style mobility model that learns universal spatial representations and city-adaptive movement patterns.

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Learning the complexity of urban mobility with deep generative network


Yuan Yuan, Jingtao Ding, Depeng Jin, Yong Li
PNAS Nexus, 2025
paper / pdf / code /

DeepMobility integrates micro- and macro-scale mobility dynamics within a single generative architecture, enabling realistic synthetic trajectories and flows.

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UniST: A Prompt-Empowered Universal Model for Urban Spatio-Temporal Prediction


Yuan Yuan, Jingtao Ding, Jie Feng, Depeng Jin, Yong Li
KDD, 2024
paper / pdf / code / slides /

We build a universal model for general spatio-temporal prediction and show the benefits of a one-for-all solution in urban contexts.

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Spatio-Temporal Few-Shot Learning via Diffusive Neural Network Generation


Yuan Yuan*, Chenyang Shao*, Jingtao Ding, Depeng Jin, Yong Li
ICLR, 2024
paper / pdf / code /

This diffusion-based framework performs generative pre-training on a collection of model parameters. By generating customized model parameters, we manage to address spatio-temporal few-shot learning.

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Spatio-temporal Diffusion Point Processes


Yuan Yuan, Jingtao Ding, Chenyang Shao, Depeng Jin, Yong Li
KDD, 2023
paper / pdf / code /

We develop a diffusion model to learn spatio-temporal point processes.

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Learning to Simulate Daily Activities via Modeling Dynamic Human Needs


Yuan Yuan, Huandong Wang, Jingtao Ding, Depeng Jin, Yong Li
The Web Conference, 2023
paper / pdf / code /

We introduce the modeling of dynamic human needs into activity simulation.

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Activity Trajectory Generation via Modeling Spatiotemporal Dynamics


Yuan Yuan, Jingtao Ding, Huandong Wang, Depeng Jin, Yong Li
KDD, 2022
paper / pdf / code /

ActSTD captures spatiotemporal dynamics underlying activity trajectories by leveraging neural differential equations.


Design and source code from Jon Barron's website